Fantasy Football Week 7 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em

byMihir Patel - 0



Fantasy soccer sit-and-start recommendation ought to all the time be relative and league-dependent. Many begins and sits are apparent too, so we’ll as an alternative give attention to fringe choices on this column, those that take actual thought. Good luck together with your Week 7 lineups!

New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars (London)

Douglas noticed a 33.3% first-read target price throughout Drake Maye’s first profession begin final week. He additionally led the staff in targets, catches and receiving yards regardless of solely enjoying in 11-personnel. Jacksonville has allowed 8.1 YPA, an NFL-high 14 TD passes and the eighth-most fantasy factors to the slot, the place Douglas has run 77% of his routes this season. Maye threw extra touchdowns in a single begin than Jacoby Brissett tossed over 5 video games, so New England’s offense abruptly has life.

Tank Bigsy can be value beginning in a positive matchup and with Travis Etienne Jr. nursing a hamstring harm.

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons

Smith simply leads the league in passing yards and makes an attempt, however he’s tied for nineteenth in touchdowns. Smith ranks third in passes contained in the 5 this season, and he’s someway transformed simply two of 15 end-zone targets (fourth-most) into scores, so he’s due for landing regression. Seattle ranks first in cross price over expectation and neutral pass rate inside the 10-yard line. Smith is value beginning towards an Atlanta protection with the league’s second-lowest strain price in a fast-paced matchup with a 51-point complete.

Smith’s high goal, DK Metcalf, is a borderline top-five WR this week.

Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Payments

Pollard noticed a 90% snap price and 12-of-13 RB alternatives within the second half final week after Tyjae Spears departed. Spears is predicted to overlook this week, and Tennessee will get a Buffalo protection ceding probably the most schedule-adjusted fantasy factors to operating backs. Pollard is considered one of solely three backs averaging greater than 4.0 yards after contact per attempt, as he continues to look extra explosive the additional faraway from Tightrope surgical procedure.

Sit Calvin Ridley, who has a troublesome matchup and can’t be trusted with an already shaky Will Levis enjoying by a sprained AC joint that required a painkilling shot final week.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

Njoku’s ceiling is proscribed by Deshaun Watson, however he’ll see elevated targets with Amari Cooper traded to Buffalo. Njoku led all tight ends in yards after the catch final 12 months, when he completed the season with 4 straight top-three TE weekly finishes. Njoku needs to be more healthy now, and the Browns can be compelled to cross regularly Sunday. The Bengals have a low-pressure price and have yielded the Tenth-most fantasy factors to tight ends this season.

Houston Texans @ Inexperienced Bay Packers

Dell noticed a season-high 28% goal share with Nico Collins sidelined final week. It stays unclear simply how wholesome he’s, however Dell can stay fantasy-productive on this function even when he’s not at present the identical explosive participant he was as a rookie. Packers opponents have the league’s ninth-highest cross price, so Dell ought to stay busy Sunday.

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Richardson’s run of powerful luck continues, as he’s set to return towards a protection permitting the fewest fantasy factors to quarterbacks this season. Miami’s schedule has helped, however the Dolphins held Josh Allen to fewer than 10 fantasy factors, and no QB has run for greater than 10 yards towards all of them season. The Dolphins have additionally ceded an NFL-low three passing touchdowns and can be well-prepared popping out of their bye.

Richardson ranks No. 5 in fantasy factors per dropback this season regardless of a troublesome schedule and struggling mightily with accuracy, so huge upside stays. However this week, there’s added danger of him leaving mid-game coming off an indirect harm and with Joe Flacco ready within the wings. Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff, Geno Smith, Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold are all superior options this week.

If Trey Sermon and Jonathan Taylor are out, deal with Tyler Goodson as a top-20 again.

Downgrade all Indianapolis huge receivers, who get a troublesome matchup and can see decrease quantity; the Colts have averaged 24 cross makes an attempt throughout Richardson begins however 41 with Joe Flacco.

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings

Begin: Jared Goff, Sam Darnold & Jordan Addison

Goff has seven landing passes during the last three weeks, and he doesn’t have greater than 25 makes an attempt in any sport over that span. He’s gotten 12.2 YPA since Week 2. Brian Flores’ protection isn’t a straightforward task, however quantity needs to be there Sunday. Minnesota is a pass-funnel protection that’s permitting the second-fewest fantasy factors to operating backs however the third-most passing yards. Vikings opponents have by far the best cross price (73%) this season, averaging 46.0 makes an attempt (5+ greater than the subsequent highest protection). This sport additionally has one of many highest totals (50.5 factors) of the week.

Darnold’s TD price (8.0%) is bound to regress transferring ahead, however he’s additionally prone to common greater than 27.4 passes per sport on an offense with the fourth-highest PROE (+3.7%). A rise in quantity ought to begin Sunday towards a pass-funnel Detroit protection lacking Hutchinson. Darnold has averaged a whopping 12.1 YPA towards man this season, a protection the Lions have used on the league’s sixth-highest price. Darnold is my QB6 this week in a pass-heavy, fast-paced matchup.

Addison was quiet his final sport in a troublesome matchup, however he noticed a season-high eight targets. Addison needs to be nearer to 100% following Minnesota’s bye, and he will get a pass-funnel Lions protection permitting the third-fewest fantasy factors to operating backs however the fourth-most to huge receivers. T.J. Hockenson will probably stay out, and the Vikings’ passing offense will benefit from Aidan Hutchinson’s absence.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Tracy Jr. has been extremely spectacular and fantasy’s RB3 during the last two weeks with out Devin Singletary. Tracy’s worth would drop some ought to the veteran return this week, however SIngletary remained restricted in Thursday’s observe and may’ve misplaced the beginning job to the rookie. A Giants’ beat author speculated Tracy will continue as New York’s lead back even after Singletary returns.

Tracy Jr. is a much bigger threat as a receiver (he’s a former WR in school) and looks like a budding star. The Eagles have yielded the second-highest explosive run price, and New York’s offense will profit from Malik Nabers’ return. Hold Tracy Jr. in lineups, particularly if Singletary is inactive.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams

Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, catches, receiving yards and yards per route run. He’s on tempo to have the second-most catches ever by a rookie tight finish, and Davante Adams was simply traded to New York. Bowers has been focused on a massive 34% of his routes with Adams off the sector this season. His numbers would look even higher, however Bowers has had some huge performs worn out by penalties. Jakobi Meyers (ankle) was sidelined for Thursday’s observe, and the Rams have allowed the second-most fantasy factors to tight ends and an NFL-high 9.0 YPA. Bowers is my No. 1 fantasy tight finish this week.

On the Rams facet, Kyren Williams is in a smash spot.

Carolina Panthers @ Washington Commanders

Ekeler noticed 88% of the chance share final week with Brian Robinson Jr. out, and he will get a a lot simpler matchup Sunday. The Panthers have allowed an NFL-high 12 speeding scores and by far probably the most fantasy factors to operating backs this season. The Commanders have simply the best implied staff complete this week, projected to attain greater than 30 factors on this fast-paced matchup.

Ekeler seems far more healthy this 12 months, so he may be began even when Robinson returns from his ongoing knee harm that stored him restricted in Thursday’s observe. Ekeler has RB1 upside ought to Robinson sit once more.

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers

JuJu Smith-Schuster took over Rashee Rice’s coveted function, however he was a late addition to this week’s harm report with a hamstring subject. In the meantime, Worthy may additionally profit from the rookie bump regularly seen after a bye week. Worthy noticed a 27.3% first-read goal price throughout his first sport with out Rice, and Smith-Schuster can be out or compromised Sunday.

San Francisco opponents have the sixth-highest cross price, so Kansas Metropolis could must throw greater than regular getting into as uncommon underdogs. This matchup might be high-scoring, and Worthy can be concerned even when it takes manufactured touches.

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Pickens is due for landing regression having probably the most targets (44) within the league with out scoring. A QB change to Russell Wilson may additionally assist long-term, however Pickens will get a troublesome Jets’ secondary this week. New York has allowed simply 4 passing touchdowns and the fewest fantasy factors to outdoors receivers this season. The Jets additionally enter with the league’s sixth-highest strain price, which could be a problem for Wilson, who has the third-worst profession sack% among all active quarterbacks.

Pickens was on the sector for 89% of the cross performs final week, and the QB change may assist, so he’ll be a sneaky commerce goal after this week’s troublesome matchup.

Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mayfield was an afterthought throughout drafts, however he’s been the QB7 or higher in 5 of six weeks. He’s been a top-five fantasy quarterback twice as many weeks (4) this season as Patrick Mahomes has been since 2022. Mayfield’s TD price (7.9%) will drop, however quantity needs to be there Monday night time.

Opponents of Baltimore and Tampa Bay rank third- and fourth-highest in cross price this season, so the setup seems extremely favorable for throwing. The Ravens are a pass-funnel protection permitting the fifth-fewest fantasy factors to operating backs however the third-most to quarterbacks. Mike Evans is banged up, however Mayfield has sneaky speeding fairness as properly. Begin him this week.

Sit Bucky Irving, who’s now a part of a ”three-headed monster” and a “hot hand” state of affairs with the emergence of Sean Tucker. And even when Rachaad White doesn’t return as anticipated this week, Irving will get a stout Baltimore run protection permitting an NFL-low 3.0 YPC.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals

McConkey noticed the rookie bump popping out of final week’s bye, recording profession highs in targets, aDOT and air yards. He was tackled on the one-yard line and missed time (checked for a concussion and later a hip subject that’s restricted him in observe this week), so his manufacturing may’ve been larger even in a troublesome matchup.

McConkey has seen no less than a 25% target share in four of five games and leads L.A. in routes as a rookie regardless of lacking observe with Justin Herbert (foot) all through August. McConkey ranks high 20 in first-read goal price and 1D/RR, that are two vital future indicators. He’s high 15 in targets per route run.

The Chargers are unquestionably run-heavy, however they’ve the second-highest impartial cross price inside the 10-yard line this season. Los Angeles had a season-high +2% PROE throughout its first sport out of the bye and is unlikely to proceed playing with the lead so frequently. McConkey has needed to face top-10 defenses in WR fantasy factors allowed in 4 of 5 video games this season, however the Chargers’ passing schedule eases up significantly transferring ahead, beginning Monday night time towards Arizona. The Cardinals have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the slot, the place McConkey has run 71% of his routes this 12 months.

Quentin Johnston didn’t observe Thursday, so McConkey’s a strong start if his well being cooperates.

Sit Kyler Murray, who hasn’t thrown for 215 yards or multiple landing throughout all 5 video games not dealing with the league’s worst passing protection (LAR) this season. He’s averaging a career-low 197.7 passing yards regardless of the addition of Marvin Harrison Jr. Murray’s speeding has elevated a bit one other 12 months faraway from knee surgical procedure, however he has zero carries contained in the 10-yard line this season. Murray has been a catastrophe outdoors of scripted performs; he’s getting 9.6 YPA with seven of his eight touchdowns approaching cross makes an attempt 1-10. Murray is getting 5.6 YPA with a 1:2 TD:INT ratio on makes an attempt eleven-plus.

Harrison Jr.’s standing is in query Monday night time after suffering a scary concussion last week, and the Chargers have allowed the second-lowest EPA/cross and the sixth-fewest fantasy factors to quarterbacks. The Cardinals have a modest implied staff complete (20.5 factors), so Murray is extra of a top-15 QB in per week with viable options.


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